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Tag: exports

Japan economy sees 1.8% GDP drop in Q3

The post Japan economy sees 1. 8% GDP drop in Q3 appeared com. Japan’s economy shrank 1. 8% on an annualized basis in the July-September quarter, marking its first decline in six quarters. The slowdown arose from softer exports, weak consumer spending, and regulatory pressures. The contraction, slightly below economists’ expectations, highlights the ongoing fragility of Japan’s economic recovery. Exports weighed heavily on growth, as trade tensions-especially tariffs on shipments to the United States-reduced output. Net external demand is subtracted from the overall quarterly growth. Private consumption, which makes up more than half of Japan’s GDP, has grown by only 0. 1%. High living expenses and stagnant wages have led households to be cautious, with limited discretionary spending on goods and services. Meanwhile, housing investment suffered too on the back of changes in building regulations, as well as tighter financing, with residential expenditure plunging. On the bright side, businesses also increased capital spending by about 1%, driven by strong business sentiment and targeted investments in equipment and factories. Government rolls out major stimulus amid rising inflation Inflation remains high, with core consumer prices rising significantly above the Bank of Japan’s target of 2%. Soaring prices for staples such as energy and food continue to put pressure on households. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is preparing an ambitious economic stimulus package, valued at over ¥17 trillion (around US$110 billion). Measures are expected to include subsidies on electricity and gas bills, cuts to gasoline taxes, targeted tax breaks, and strategic investment in growth industries such as AI and semiconductors. The government plans to fund the package through a large supplementary budget, likely exceeding last year’s additional spending of ¥13. 9 trillion. Policymakers struggle to ensure that they are providing strong fiscal support while being responsible for its fiscal implications. Monday’s GDP numbers boost political support for aggressive fiscal spending. But Japan’s already elevated public debt raises concerns about.

New Zealand Dollar drifts lower below 0.5650 as China’s Trade Surplus narrows in October

The post New Zealand Dollar drifts lower below 0. 5650 as China’s Trade Surplus narrows com. The NZD/USD pair attracts some sellers near 0. 5620 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) after a narrowing of China’s trade surplus in October and a weak New Zealand jobs report. Traders brace for the flash U-Mich Consumer Sentiment survey later on Friday. Data released by the General Administration of Customs of the People’s Republic of China on Friday showed that China’s trade surplus came in at $90. 07 billion in October versus $90. 45 billion prior. This figure came in below the forecast of $95. 60 billion. Meanwhile, Exports rose by 1. 1% year-over-year in October, missing expectations for a 3. 0% gain. Imports increased 1. 0% year-over-year in October, compared to 7. 4% in September, below the market consensus of 3. 2%. A narrowing of China’s trade surplus in October could weigh on the China-proxy Kiwi, as China is a major trading partner for New Zealand. Additionally, New Zealand’s Unemployment Rate climbed to 5. 3% in the third quarter (Q3), the highest level since 2016. The weak jobs report sealed the case for a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) this month, which exerted some selling pressure on the NZD. Most economists expect another 25 basis points (bps) reduction at the final meeting of the year on November 26. US Challenger jobs data indicated a spike in US job cuts, suggesting a possible cooling in US labor market conditions. The Challenger report showed that companies cut over 150, 000 jobs in October, marking the biggest reduction for the month in more than 20 years. Traders ramped up bets on a rate cut following US Challenger jobs data, which weighed on the Greenback against the NZD. Trading in Fed funds futures implies a 70% possibility of a reduction at the US central bank’s next meeting, up from a 62% probability a day.

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