Market Outlook: Technical Call of The Day & Top 5 Stocks In Focus For October 3

Nifty index opened on a flattish note around the 24,620 zone, with bulls taking charge right from the opening tick, maintaining momentum throughout the session. Supported by the RBI policy outcome, a wave of short covering further fueled the rally, enabling the index to break its nine-day losing streak. Nifty smoothly crossed and held above key hurdles at 24,750-24,800, eventually forming a large bullish candle on the daily chart.

This move negated the sequence of lower highs and lower lows seen over the past nine sessions, with the index closing the day with strong gains of 225 points. Now, it needs to hold above the 24,750 zone for an up move towards 25,000, followed by 25,100 levels. On the downside, support is shifting higher to 24,750 and then 24,600.

**Option Front Analysis:**
– Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) is at 25,000 and 24,900 strikes
– Maximum Put OI is at 24,600 and 24,700 strikes
– Call writing observed at 24,950 and 25,000 strikes
– Put writing noted at 24,700 and 24,600 strikes

Option data suggests a broader trading range between 24,300 to 25,300, with an immediate range between 24,600 and 25,100.

S&P BSE Sensex opened on a steady note around the 81,170 zone. Bulls seized control from the start, keeping momentum strong throughout the session. The RBI policy announcement acted as a trigger for short covering, propelling the rally and ending the recent losing streak.

The index comfortably crossed and sustained above key hurdles at 80,500 and 81,000, forming a large bullish candle on the daily chart. This rebound negated the sequence of lower highs and lower lows that had persisted recently. Sensex closed the day with robust gains of nearly 700 points.

The index now needs to hold above the 80,600 zone for an upward move towards 81,200 and then 81,500 levels. On the downside, support is rising to 80,600 and then 80,300.

**Bank Nifty** opened flat but witnessed strong buying momentum after the RBI monetary policy outcome, extending gains toward the 55,400 zone late in the session. It formed a large bullish candle on the daily scale, with strong buying seen across private banks.

The Bank Nifty closed near 55,350 with decent gains of around 700 points. This rate-sensitive index is now above its 50-day exponential moving average (DEMA) and is relatively outperforming the broader market.

Key levels to watch:
– Support at 55,000 and 54,750
– Upside targets at 55,750 and 56,000

**Nifty Futures:**
Nifty futures closed positive with gains of 0.83% at 24,982 levels.

Positive setups were seen in stocks like Shriram Finance, Piramal Pharma, LTF, Nykaa, SRF, Sun Pharma, APL Apollo, GMR Airport, AB Capital, and ONGC.

Weakness was observed in Delhivery, Cummins India, AU Bank, Bajaj Auto, Tata Steel, Max Health, Infosys, Tata Elxsi, Petronet, and Ultratech Cement.

### SWSOLAR – Technical Call of the Day

The stock has been trading sideways since early August and witnessed a downward trajectory from the last week of September. However, it has respected its April lows and managed to close above those levels, as highlighted by the trend line on the chart.

In the past two sessions, volumes have picked up, supported by positive RSI divergence visible on daily charts, reflecting a strong bounce back from oversold zones. With a healthy order book, the risk-reward ratio looks favorable for SWSOLAR.

**Recommendation:**
– Buy SWSOLAR
– Current Market Price (CMP): 244.95
– Stop Loss (SL): 223.25
– Target (TGT): 270.70

### Top 5 Stocks to Watch Out for on 3rd October 2025

**Lemon Tree Hotels:**
Lemon Tree Hotels announced the signing of its latest property, Keys Select by Lemon Tree Hotels, Haridwar, featuring 52 well-appointed rooms, a restaurant, conference hall, and recreational facilities including a fitness center. This signing will expand the company’s leisure portfolio in Uttarakhand, where they already have 8 operational and 9 upcoming properties.

**KRBL:**
KRBL has been declared the successful bidder in an e-auction conducted by the Justice (Retd.) R.M. Lodha Committee for immovable properties situated in Panipat, Haryana. The reserve price was Rs 104 crore, while KRBL’s final bid stood at Rs 402 crore. The acquisition aims at setting up a plant, warehousing, allied activities, or partial monetization of land.

**Zydus Lifesciences:**
Zydus Lifesciences’ wholly owned subsidiary Sentynl Therapeutics, Inc. has received a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the USFDA regarding its New Drug Application (NDA) for copper histidinate (CUTX-101), intended to treat Menkes disease in pediatric patients. The CRL mainly requests clarification on CGMP inspection of Zydus’ manufacturing site. No safety or efficacy issues were raised. The company has submitted compliance responses and is awaiting further updates while planning to meet the USFDA for resubmission discussions.

**Unimech Aerospace:**
In its business update for Q2 FY26, Unimech Aerospace reported a revenue slowdown, with Q2 expected to be marginally lower than Q1 due to US tariffs impacting export realizations. Customers are delaying order pickups while monitoring tariff developments, putting pressure on quarterly profits. Given these headwinds, achieving full-year FY26 revenue guidance may be challenging.

**Maruti Suzuki:**
Maruti Suzuki sold 1,89,665 units in September 2025, matching estimates. Exports surged 52% YoY to 42,204 units, hitting a record, while domestic sales fell 6.3%. Production rose 26% YoY to 2.01 lakh units, driven by strong passenger vehicle output. The company highlighted record festive demand, with 1,65,000 deliveries in the first eight days of Navratri, and daily bookings up 50% after recent price cuts. Exports in H1 FY26 crossed 2.1 lakh units, including over 6,000 EVs shipped in August–September.

*Image Credits: [File Image]*
https://www.freepressjournal.in/business/market-outlook-technical-call-of-the-day-top-5-stocks-in-focus-for-october-3

Market Outlook: Technical Call of The Day & Top 5 Stocks In Focus For October 3

Nifty index opened on a flattish note around the 24,620 zone, but the bulls took charge right from the opening tick, maintaining momentum throughout the session. Supported by the RBI policy outcome, a wave of short covering further fueled the rally, enabling the index to break its nine-day losing streak. Nifty smoothly crossed and held above key hurdles of 24,750-24,800, eventually forming a large bullish candle on the daily chart.

This move negated the sequence of lower highs and lower lows seen over the past nine sessions, with the index closing the day with strong gains of 225 points. Now, it needs to hold above the 24,750 zone for an upward move towards 25,000, then 25,100 zones. On the downside, support is shifting higher to 24,750, then 24,600 levels.

**Option Front**
Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) is seen at 25,000 followed by 24,900 strike, while Maximum Put OI is at 24,600 and 24,700 strike. Call writing is observed at 24,950 and 25,000 strikes, whereas Put writing is seen at 24,700 and 24,600 strikes. Option data suggests a broader trading range between 24,300 and 25,300 zones, with an immediate range between 24,600 and 25,100 levels.

S&P BSE Sensex opened on a steady note around the 81,170 zone. Bulls awakened early and seized control from the start, keeping momentum strong throughout the session. The RBI policy announcement acted as a trigger for short covering, propelling the rally and ending the recent losing streak.

The index comfortably crossed and sustained above critical hurdles of 80,500 and 81,000, eventually forming a large bullish candle on the daily chart. This rebound negated the recent sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with Sensex closing robustly, up nearly 700 points.

Going forward, it must hold above the 80,600 zone to target 81,200 and then 81,500 levels. Support is shifting higher at 80,600 and 80,300 levels on the downside.

Bank Nifty opened on a flattish note but witnessed strong buying momentum following the RBI monetary policy outcome. The index extended momentum toward the 55,400 zone later in the session. It formed a large bullish candle on the daily scale, driven by strong buying across private banks, and closed with decent gains of around 700 points near 55,350.

The rate-sensitive index is now above its 50-day exponential moving average (DEMA) and is outperforming the broader market. It needs to hold above the 55,000 zone for an upward move toward 55,750 and then 56,000, with support seen at 55,000 and 54,750 levels on the downside.

**Nifty Futures**
Nifty futures closed positive with gains of 0.83% at 24,982 levels. Stocks showing a positive setup include Shriram Finance, Piramal Pharma, LTF, Nykaa, SRF, Sun Pharma, APL Apollo, GMR Airport, AB Capital, and ONGC. On the other hand, weakness was observed in Delhivery, Cummins India, AU Bank, Bajaj Auto, Tata Steel, Max Health, Infosys, Tata Elxsi, Petronet, and Ultratech Cement.

### SWSOLAR – Technical Call of the Day

SWSOLAR has been trading sideways since early August but witnessed a downward trajectory from the last week of September. However, it has respected its April lows and managed to close above those levels, as highlighted by the trend line in the chart.

In the past two sessions, volumes have picked up, supported by positive RSI divergence visible on daily charts. This reflects a strong bounce back from oversold zones. With a healthy order book, the risk-reward setup looks favorable for SWSOLAR.

**Trade Setup:**
**BUY** SWSOLAR
Current Market Price (CMP): 244.95
Stop Loss (SL): 223.25
Target (TGT): 270.70

### Top 5 Stocks to Watch Out For – 3rd Oct 2025

**Lemon Tree Hotels:**
Lemon Tree Hotels announced the signing of its latest property, Keys Select by Lemon Tree Hotels, Haridwar. The property features 52 well-appointed rooms, a restaurant, conference hall, and recreational facilities including a fitness center. This signing expands the company’s leisure portfolio in Uttarakhand, where they currently have 8 operational and 9 upcoming properties.

**KRBL:**
KRBL emerged as the successful bidder in the e-auction conducted by the Justice (Retd.) R.M. Lodha Committee for the sale of immovable properties situated in Panipat, Haryana. The total reserve price was Rs 104 crore, but KRBL made a final bid of Rs 402 crore. The acquisition aims to set up a plant, carry out warehousing and allied activities, or partially monetize the land.

**Zydus Lifesciences:**
Zydus Lifesciences’ wholly owned subsidiary, Sentynl Therapeutics, Inc., announced that the USFDA has issued a Complete Response Letter (CRL) regarding its New Drug Application (NDA) for copper histidinate (CUTX-101), intended to treat Menkes disease in pediatric patients. The CRL relates mainly to clarification on the CGMP inspection of Zydus’ manufacturing site. Zydus has submitted compliance responses and is awaiting the inspection report, with plans to meet the USFDA for resubmission discussions. Importantly, no safety or efficacy concerns were raised for the drug.

**Unimech Aerospace:**
The company shared its Q2FY26 business update, reporting a revenue slowdown with Q2 expected to be marginally lower than Q1. The decline is primarily due to U.S. tariffs impacting export realizations. Customers are delaying order pick-ups while monitoring the tariff situation, putting pressure on quarterly profits. Given these headwinds, achieving full-year FY26 revenue guidance may be challenging.

**Maruti Suzuki:**
Maruti Suzuki sold 1,89,665 units in September 2025, aligning with estimates. Exports hit a record 42,204 units, up 52% YoY, although domestic sales declined by 6.3%. Production rose 26% YoY to 2.01 lakh units, driven by strong passenger vehicle output. The company highlighted record festive demand, with 1,65,000 deliveries in the first eight days of Navratri and daily bookings up 50% following recent price cuts. Exports in H1FY26 crossed 2.1 lakh units, including over 6,000 EVs shipped in August–September.

*Images referenced in the original report are available in the file archive.*
https://www.freepressjournal.in/business/market-outlook-technical-call-of-the-day-top-5-stocks-in-focus-for-october-3

Stocks Decline as Bond Yields Push Higher

The S&P 500 Index (PX) (SPY) on Thursday closed down 0.50%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index (OWI) (DIA) closed down 0.38%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index (UXX) (QQQ) closed down 0.43%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25) fell 0.48%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQZ25) fell 0.47%.

Stock indexes were under pressure on Thursday, with the S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrials, and the Nasdaq 100 all falling to one-week lows. Stocks retreated for the third consecutive session as rising bond yields undercut stock prices.

Signs that the US economy is stronger than expected pushed Treasury note yields higher following the release of better-than-expected US GDP, jobless claims, and core capital goods orders reports. The 10-year Treasury note yield posted a three-week high, finishing up 2 basis points at 4.17%.

**Economic Data Highlights**

– The US Q2 GDP was revised upward to +3.8% (quarter-over-quarter annualized), stronger than the initial estimate of +3.3%.
– Q2 personal consumption was revised upward to +2.5%, exceeding expectations of +1.7%.
– The Q2 core PCE price index was unexpectedly revised upward to +2.6%, versus prior expectations of 2.5%.
– US weekly initial unemployment claims fell by 14,000 to a two-month low of 218,000, showing a stronger labor market than the expected increase to 233,000.
– August core capital goods new orders (excluding defense and aircraft), a proxy for capital spending, rose 0.6% month-over-month, beating expectations of no change.
– August existing home sales fell 0.2% month-over-month to 4.00 million, slightly better than the expected 3.95 million.

**Fed Comments and Market Implications**

Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid signaled that the Federal Reserve may not need to lower interest rates again soon. He remarked that the current stance of Fed policy is “slightly restrictive,” which he believes is appropriate as inflation remains too high while the labor market, though cooling, still remains largely balanced.

**Cryptocurrency and Market Risks**

The price of Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) fell more than 3% to a three-week low ahead of the expiration of monthly options. More than $17 billion in notional open interest tied to Bitcoin is set to expire on Friday, according to derivatives exchange Deribit.

Another potential bearish factor for stocks is the looming possibility of a US government shutdown on October 1 if lawmakers fail to pass a spending bill. The White House issued a memo on Wednesday warning that a shutdown would trigger widespread dismissals of employees in government programs that don’t align with President Trump’s priorities.

**Corporate Earnings Outlook**

On a more positive note, rising corporate earnings expectations provide a bullish backdrop for stocks. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, more than 22% of S&P 500 companies have provided guidance indicating that their Q3 earnings results are expected to beat analysts’ estimates—the highest percentage in a year.

S&P companies are projected to post 6.9% earnings growth in Q3, up slightly from 6.7% as of the end of May.

**Upcoming Market Focus**

This week, markets will be paying close attention to any fresh trade or tariff news. On Friday, August personal spending is expected to increase by 0.5% month-over-month and personal income by 0.3% month-over-month.

Additionally, the August core PCE price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—is expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year. The University of Michigan’s September US consumer sentiment index is forecasted to remain unchanged at 55.4.

Markets currently price in an 86% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for October 28-29.

**Overseas Markets and Interest Rates**

Overseas stock markets on Thursday settled mixed:

– The Euro Stoxx 50 closed down 0.36%.
– China’s Shanghai Composite closed down 0.01%.
– Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 closed up 0.27%.

In the bond market, December 10-year Treasury notes (ZNZ5) closed down 10 ticks. The 10-year Treasury note yield rose 2.1 basis points to 4.168%, climbing to a three-week high of 4.199% earlier in the session.

Stronger-than-expected US economic reports were hawkish for Fed policy and bearish for T-notes. Hawkish comments from Kansas City Fed President Schmid also weighed on T-notes, signaling that further rate cuts may not be imminent.

Demand was weak at the $44 billion auction of 7-year T-notes, which had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.40—the lowest in 2.5 years and below the 10-auction average of 2.63.

European government bond yields also moved higher. The 10-year German bund yield rose 2.6 basis points to 2.773%, a three-week high. The 10-year UK gilt yield climbed 8.8 basis points to 4.757%, also a three-week high.

**Eurozone Economic Data**

– August new car registrations rose 5.3% year-over-year to 678,000 units.
– August M3 money supply rose 2.9% year-over-year, weaker than the expected 3.3%, marking the slowest pace of increase on a year.
– The German October GfK consumer confidence survey improved by 1.2 points to -22.3, better than expectations of -23.3.

Swaps are discounting only a 1% chance for a 25 basis point rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) at its October 30 policy meeting.

**US Stock Movers**

The weakness in chip stocks on Thursday weighed on the overall market:

– Micron Technology (MU) closed down more than 3%.
– ARM Holdings Plc (ARM) and ON Semiconductor (ON) both closed down more than 2%.
– Microchip Technology (MCHP), Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM), NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI), and Texas Instruments (TXN) all declined more than 1%.

Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks also faced pressure amid Bitcoin’s decline. Strategy (MSTR) led the Nasdaq 100 losers, down more than 7%. Other cryptocurrency-linked stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN), Bit Digital (BTBT), Galaxy Digital (GLXY), MARA Holdings (MARA), and Riot Platforms (RIOT) closed down more than 4%.

CarMax (KMX) was the biggest loser in the S&P 500, closing down more than 20% after reporting Q2 net sales and operating revenue of $6.59 billion—well below consensus estimates of $7.01 billion.

Oklo Inc (OKLO) dropped more than 8% after Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a neutral rating and a price target of $117.

Jabil (JBL) fell more than 6% despite posting better-than-expected Q4 net revenue, as Vital Knowledge highlighted margin pressures in its AI-exposed Intelligent Infrastructure segment.

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) declined more than 6%, adding to Wednesday’s 16% plunge after declaring force majeure on contracted copper supplies and suspending operations at its Grasberg mine in Indonesia following a deadly mudslide.

Oracle (ORCL) closed down more than 5% after Rothschild & Co Redburn initiated coverage with a sell recommendation and a price target of $175.

Tesla (TSLA) fell more than 4% after reporting European August car sales down 22%, giving it a market share of only 1.9%.

**Notable Gainers**

Lithium Americas (LAC) surged more than 22%, adding to Wednesday’s 96% jump following reports that the Trump administration is pursuing a stake in the company. Lithium producer Albemarle (ALB) also gained more than 4% on the news.

Intel (INTC) rose more than 8%, leading gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after reports that the company approached Apple about securing an investment.

International Business Machines (IBM) climbed more than 5%, leading gainers in the Dow Jones Industrials, after HSBC Holdings Plc announced a breakthrough in deploying quantum computing in financial markets using IBM’s Heron quantum processor to improve bond price predictions.

Marvell Technology (MRVL) rose more than 4% on insider buying, with CEO Murphy purchasing $1.05 million of shares on Thursday.

United Natural Foods (UNFI) increased more than 3% after BMO Capital Markets upgraded the stock to outperform from market perform with a price target of $36.

CME Group (CME) gained more than 1% following an upgrade to buy from neutral by Citigroup, with a price target of $300.

**Earnings Reports (September 26, 2025)**

– Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI)
– Immersion Corp (IMMR)
– Mercurity Fintech Holding Inc (MFH)
– Triller Group Inc (ILLR)
– XCF Global Inc (SAFX)

**Disclosure**

On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not hold (directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data are for informational purposes only. For more details, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy.

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*The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.*
https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stocks-decline-bond-yields-push-higher

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