Bitcoin Treasury Inflows Drop to Lowest Levels Since Mid-June 2023

TLDR Bitcoin treasury inflows fell to just 140 BTC per day, the lowest since June 2023. Institutional demand for Bitcoin slowed significantly after the October 6 price peak. About 25% of public Bitcoin treasury firms trade below their net asset value. Bitcoin’s price stabilization around $110,000 may be impacting institutional buying. Bitcoin treasuries, once seen as a major driver for Bitcoin’s market growth, have sharply reduced their purchases of the cryptocurrency in recent months. The sharp decline in daily inflows of Bitcoin to these firms indicates that the momentum seen earlier this year is waning, with many now questioning the sustainability of the digital asset treasury model. Institutional Demand for Bitcoin Drops Bitcoin digital asset treasuries (DATs) have seen a notable reduction in inflows, reflecting a significant cooling in institutional interest. The seven-day moving average of net daily inflows has dropped to 140 BTC, the lowest since mid-June. This marks a drastic decline from the peak in July, when inflows were as high as 8, 249 BTC, according to data from BitcoinTreasuries. net. In fact, recent daily activity has shown even weaker performance. Out of 15 days in October, 12 days recorded inflows of under 500 BTC, with several days experiencing no inflows at all. This trend suggests that the once-aggressive buying activity from institutional investors has significantly slowed down, possibly due to the current market conditions and uncertainty about Bitcoin’s future price movements. Price Stabilization and Market Consolidation Bitcoin’s price has also cooled after reaching an all-time high of over $126,000 on October 6. Currently, it has stabilized above the $110,000 mark, showing signs of market consolidation. According to market analysts, Bitcoin’s price has been range-bound since June, reflecting a balance between bullish optimism and profit-taking among investors. The stabilization of Bitcoin’s price could be playing a role in the decreased appetite for further acquisitions from firms holding digital asset treasuries. As the market experiences this phase of consolidation, the likelihood of significant price jumps in the short term appears to be decreasing, which may reduce the urgency for institutions to increase their holdings. Challenges Faced by Bitcoin Treasury Firms The business model behind Bitcoin treasuries relies heavily on borrowing fiat to acquire Bitcoin, betting that its price will continue to rise. However, this model faces several challenges, particularly the lack of inherent yield from Bitcoin itself. Unlike stocks or bonds, Bitcoin does not generate any regular income for its holders. Therefore, for companies that have borrowed funds to buy Bitcoin, the value of their holdings needs to appreciate significantly to justify the cost of the debt. For many digital asset treasury firms, this has resulted in a dilemma. They are exposed to potential market downturns and may face difficulties if Bitcoin’s price fails to continue rising. As a result, firms that once issued stock or debt to fund Bitcoin purchases now risk seeing their market valuations drop, especially as Bitcoin prices have shown signs of stabilizing or even declining. As NYDIG points out, the relationship between a firm’s net asset value (NAV) and its stock price is closely tied to Bitcoin’s price. A downtrend in Bitcoin could see firms’ market value fall below the value of the Bitcoin they hold. Market Sentiment and the Future of Digital Asset Treasuries While Bitcoin’s price recovery earlier in the year spurred a wave of institutional interest, the recent slowdown in treasury inflows may signal a shift in market sentiment. Moreover, some publicly traded Bitcoin treasury firms are now facing a situation where they trade below their NAV, meaning the value of their stock is less than the Bitcoin they hold. According to NYDIG, this development is concerning, as the premiums tied to Bitcoin’s price may evaporate in a market downturn. Approximately one in four of these publicly traded DATs now trade below their NAV, further highlighting the potential risks these firms face as Bitcoin’s market outlook remains uncertain. In the face of these challenges, it remains to be seen whether Bitcoin treasuries can continue to grow or if institutional interest in them will decline further. The recent reduction in inflows is a sign that firms may be reevaluating their strategies and waiting for clearer market signals before making further Bitcoin purchases.
https://coincentral.com/bitcoin-treasury-inflows-drop-to-lowest-levels-since-mid-june-2023/

Corn Trading Steady on Thursday Morning

Corn futures are holding steady on Thursday morning, with contracts remaining close to unchanged. On Wednesday, the corn market saw gains of 3 to 4 cents across most contracts. Preliminary open interest slipped by 6,238 contracts on Wednesday, signaling some shorts covering.

The CmdtyView national average cash corn price rose by 3¾ cents to $3.74.

Due to the Monday holiday, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) data release has been postponed to Thursday. Market watchers will be closely monitoring whether ethanol production can continue its recent rebound. Normally, Export Sales data would be released on Friday; however, the ongoing government shutdown has suspended this update. Traders estimate that corn bookings ranged between 0.9 to 2 million metric tons (MMT) for the week ending October 9.

In international news, two separate South Korean importers purchased a combined total of 269,000 metric tons of corn in private tenders on Wednesday. No official origins were listed for these purchases.

Corn Contract Closing Prices:
– December 2025 corn closed at $4.16¾, up 3¾ cents and is currently unchanged.
– Nearby cash corn was $3.74, up 3¾ cents.
– March 2026 corn closed at $4.32¼, up 3 cents and is currently unchanged.
– May 2026 corn closed at $4.41, up 3 cents and is currently up ¼ cent.

Disclaimer: As of the date of publication, Austin Schroeder does not hold positions, either directly or indirectly, in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data are provided solely for informational purposes. For more details, please refer to the [Barchart Disclosure Policy](https://www.barchart.com/disclosure).

Additional news from Barchart:
– Grain Traders React to Unexpected Deterioration in U.S.-China Relations
– Five Things to Watch for a Turnaround
– Will Cotton Ever Rally?
– As China Shuns U.S. Agricultural Products, Make This One Trade Now
– Corn and Soybean Bulls Faced Challenges Last Week: What to Watch Next

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/corn-trading-steady-thursday-morning

CAC Rises After Government Survives No-confidence Votes

French stocks are trading in positive territory on Thursday, lifting the benchmark CAC 40 to an eight-month high. The market sentiment remains firm following the French government’s survival of no-confidence votes.

France’s reappointed Prime Minister, Sébastien Lecornu, successfully survived successive no-confidence votes in the National Assembly today. His narrow victory was secured thanks to sufficient support from moderates, helping to avert a second government collapse in as many weeks. Lecornu’s offer to suspend an unpopular pension reform played a key role in swaying the opposition Socialists, providing his government with a crucial lifeline in the deeply fragmented chamber.

The CAC 40 index was up 55.75 points, or 0.69%, at 8,132.75 a few minutes ago.

In the stock-specific developments, Pernod Ricard is climbing 3.7%. After a challenging first quarter, the French spirits maker expects sales to improve in fiscal year 2026. For the first quarter, Pernod Ricard recorded sales of EUR 2.384 billion, down from EUR 2.783 billion during the same period last year.

Other notable gainers include EssilorLuxottica, up 2.3%, while Michelin, Edenred, Thales, and Renault are up between 1.6% and 1.8%. Legrand, Societe Generale, Schneider Electric, Sanofi, Safran, STMicroElectronics, Publicis Groupe, and Stellantis saw increases ranging from 1% to 1.2%.

On the downside, Kering is declining by about 1.6%. Bouygues, Euronext, and Hermes International are down between 0.4% and 0.8%, while ArcelorMittal is down marginally.

*Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official position of Nasdaq, Inc.*
https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/cac-rises-after-government-survives-no-confidence-votes

Analysts Expect KIE To Hit $64

At ETF Channel, we analyzed the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe by comparing the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price. From this, we computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself.

For the SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (Symbol: KIE), we found that the implied analyst target price based on its underlying holdings is $63.98 per unit. With KIE trading recently near $58.32 per unit, this suggests that analysts see approximately 9.70% upside for this ETF when looking through to the average analyst targets of its underlying holdings.

Among KIE’s underlying holdings, three stocks stand out with notable upside potential relative to their analyst target prices: The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc (Symbol: BWIN), Globe Life Inc (Symbol: GL), and Allstate Corp (Symbol: ALL).

  • BWIN has recently traded at around $26.31 per share, while the average analyst target price is significantly higher at $38.00, representing an upside of 44.43%.
  • GL is trading near $138.10, with analysts setting a target price of $164.85, indicating a potential upside of 19.37%.
  • ALL has a recent price of $200.42, with an average target price of $233.05, suggesting an upside of 16.28%.

Combined, BWIN, GL, and ALL represent approximately 5.45% of the total SPDR S&P Insurance ETF holdings.

Below is a summary table of the recent prices and average analyst 12-month target prices for these securities:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
SPDR S&P Insurance ETF KIE $58.32 $63.98 9.70%
The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc BWIN $26.31 $38.00 44.43%
Globe Life Inc GL $138.10 $164.85 19.37%
Allstate Corp ALL $200.42 $233.05 16.28%

While these upside figures highlight potential growth according to analyst targets, it is important for investors to consider whether these targets are justified. Are analysts being overly optimistic about where these stocks will trade 12 months from now? Alternatively, could the targets be outdated, not reflecting recent company or industry developments?

A high price target relative to a stock’s current trading price can signal optimism regarding future performance. However, it can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets have not been updated to reflect the latest market conditions.

These questions merit further research by investors before making decisions. Evaluating a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and recent developments can provide clearer insight into whether analyst targets are reasonable or overly bullish.

10 ETFs With Most Upside To Analyst Targets »

Also see:

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.

https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/analysts-expect-kie-hit-64

Arbitrum Records $4.5B Net Inflows Amid Market Recovery, Eyes 200% Target

**Arbitrum Sees Largest 48-Hour Net Inflows of $4.5 Billion Amid Market Volatility**

Arbitrum has experienced a significant surge with net inflows reaching $4.5 billion over the past 48 hours. This explosive growth highlights strong interest from both institutional and retail investors as the ecosystem stabilizes. Analysts are increasingly optimistic, expecting substantial growth in the near future.

Following the recent market meltdown, Arbitrum prices dropped below $0.13 but rebounded rapidly. At the time of writing, Arbitrum is trading at $0.334, which is nearly 20% below its value from one week ago. Despite the sharp decline, the market showed resilience and bounced back quickly.

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 36, indicating oversold conditions, which might present a buying opportunity for traders. Meanwhile, the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 21) is positioned at $0.395, a key level that market participants are closely monitoring for a potential breakout.

**Market Overview and Technical Picture**

Traders are watching Arbitrum carefully as the support level at $0.32 provides short-term assistance against further declines. However, trading volume has dropped by 37% to approximately $285 million per day, signaling caution among investors as they wait for confirmation that the current momentum is sustainable.

**Signs of a Bullish Outlook for Arbitrum**

Several analysts view the current price levels as a mispricing opportunity. Arbitrum remains the most active Layer-2 solution in the blockchain industry, processing millions of transactions daily and boasting high user and developer engagement.

Technical projections are optimistic, with forecasts suggesting that the ARB/BTC trading pair could see a target increase of around 200%. This positive outlook reinforces the belief that Arbitrum is well-positioned for substantial gains as the market recovers.

Investors and traders are advised to keep a close eye on key support and resistance levels as the ecosystem continues to evolve amid ongoing market dynamics.
https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/tech/arbitrum-records-4-5b-net-inflows-amid-market-recovery-eyes-200-target/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=arbitrum-records-4-5b-net-inflows-amid-market-recovery-eyes-200-target

Australia jobless rate rises to 4.5% in Sept; employment growth misses estimates

**Australia Jobless Rate Rises to 4.5% in September; Employment Growth Misses Estimates**

Australia’s job market showed significant weakness in September 2025. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate climbed to 4.5%, surpassing both the prior month’s revised figure and the expected consensus of 4.3%. This marks the highest jobless rate since November 2021.

The disappointing rise in unemployment highlights growing challenges within the labor sector, as employment growth failed to meet economists’ estimates for the month.

**Related Stocks**

– EWA
– FXA
– FLAU

*Stay tuned for more trending news and detailed market analysis.*
https://seekingalpha.com/news/4504616-australia-jobless-rate-rises-to-45-in-sept-employment-growth-misses-estimates?utm_source=feed_news_all&utm_medium=referral&feed_item_type=news

Gold hits new highs as safe-haven buying and Fed outlook fuels momentum

**Gold (XAU/USD) Extends Rally to Fifth Day, Hits New Record Highs Amid Global Uncertainties**

Gold continues its impressive uptrend for the fifth consecutive day, scaling new record highs during the Asian session on Thursday. The persistent rise in gold prices reflects mounting global anxieties among investors, who remain increasingly concerned about economic risks associated with the US government shutdown, heightened US-China trade tensions, and escalating geopolitical conflicts. These factors continue to drive capital flows towards the traditional safe-haven asset—bullion.

Adding to gold’s appeal are dovish expectations for the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Market participants appear to have nearly fully priced in the possibility of two additional rate cuts by the Fed this year, bolstering demand for the non-yielding yellow metal. This outlook weighs on the US Dollar (USD), which has slipped to a more than one-week low, further strengthening the case for gold’s near-term appreciation.

Despite extremely overbought conditions visible on short-term charts, gold bulls remain undeterred. This resilience solidifies a positive near-term outlook for the commodity ahead of upcoming speeches from influential Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members.

### Market Movers: Gold Supported by Flight to Safety, Dovish Fed, and Weaker USD

The partial US federal government shutdown has now stretched into its third week, with no resolution in sight. On Wednesday, a Republican-backed stopgap funding bill failed for the ninth time in the Senate, intensifying concerns about the economic fallout from a prolonged shutdown. A Treasury official estimated that the shutdown could cost the US economy $15 billion per week in lost output, revising an earlier statement from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

Meanwhile, US-China trade tensions escalated further as both countries imposed reciprocal port fees this week. President Donald Trump also indicated he was considering ending the cooking oil trade with China in retaliation for China’s refusal to purchase American soybeans. Trump described the situation as an all-out trade war between the two nations.

On the other hand, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent proposed a potential pause on import duties for Chinese goods beyond three months if China halts its planned export controls on rare-earth elements—offering a glimmer of hope for easing tensions.

### Geopolitical Concerns and Fed Dovishness Support Gold

Geopolitically, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth warned Russia about possible consequences should the Ukraine conflict continue unabated. Adding to the tensions, President Trump mentioned the possibility of supplying Ukraine with longer-range Tomahawk cruise missiles.

In a dovish signal on Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted an ongoing sluggish labor market, characterized by low hiring and firing activity through September. This reaffirmed market expectations for two 25 basis point rate cuts in the Fed’s October and December meetings.

### USD Under Pressure as Gold Extends Gains

The US Dollar has continued its downtrend for the third straight day, reaching its lowest level in over a week during Thursday’s Asian session. This decline supports gold’s record-breaking rally and suggests further upside potential for the yellow metal in the near term.

With no major economic releases on the immediate horizon, all eyes will be on speeches from key FOMC members for clues on upcoming rate adjustments. These communications are expected to play a crucial role in shaping USD demand and providing momentum to gold prices.

### Technical Outlook: Gold Bulls Defy Overbought Signals

The XAU/USD pair has steadily trended higher along an upward-sloping trend line over the past month. Notably, gold’s recent sustained break and hold above the $4,200 psychological level has acted as a fresh catalyst for bullish momentum.

However, an extremely overbought daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) calls for caution before traders consider further long positions. Any corrective pullback could attract buyers near the $4,200 mark, potentially limiting downside pressure toward the $4,180-$4,175 support zone.

If gold breaks convincingly below this level, technical selling may intensify, driving prices toward the intermediate support area around $4,135 en route to the $4,100 level. The next critical support zone lies near $4,060-$4,055. A decisive break below this could signal that the XAU/USD pair has reached a near-term peak.

**In summary, gold’s uptrend remains robust, supported by an intricate mix of economic uncertainties, dovish Fed expectations, and a weakening US dollar. Traders should monitor key support levels closely while staying attuned to upcoming FOMC remarks, which will likely influence the metals market direction in the short term.**
https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/finance/gold-hits-new-highs-as-safe-haven-buying-and-fed-outlook-fuels-momentum/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=gold-hits-new-highs-as-safe-haven-buying-and-fed-outlook-fuels-momentum

Is college worth the cost? Universities work to show the return on investment of a degree

WASHINGTON (AP) — For a generation of young Americans, choosing where to go to college—or whether to go at all—has become a complex calculation of costs and benefits that often revolves around a single question: Is the degree worth its price?

Public confidence in higher education has plummeted in recent years amid high tuition prices, skyrocketing student loans, a dismal job market, and ideological concerns from conservatives. Now, colleges are scrambling to prove their value to students.

Borrowed from the business world, the term “return on investment” (ROI) has been plastered on college advertisements across the U.S. A battery of new rankings grade campuses on the financial benefits they deliver. States such as Colorado have started publishing yearly reports on the monetary payoff of college, and Texas now factors ROI into calculations for how much taxpayer money goes to community colleges.

“Students are becoming more aware of the times when college doesn’t pay off,” said Preston Cooper, who has studied college ROI at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank. “It’s front of mind for universities today in a way that it was not necessarily 15, 20 years ago.”

### Most Bachelor’s Degrees Are Still Worth It

A wide body of research indicates a bachelor’s degree still pays off, at least on average and in the long run. Yet there’s growing recognition that not all degrees lead to a good salary, and even some that seem like a good bet are becoming riskier as graduates face one of the toughest job markets in years.

A new analysis released Thursday by the Strada Education Foundation finds 70% of recent public university graduates can expect a positive return within 10 years—meaning their earnings over a decade will exceed that of a typical high school graduate by an amount greater than the cost of their degree. Yet it varies by state, from 53% in North Dakota to 82% in Washington, D.C. States where college is more affordable have fared better, the report says.

It’s a critical issue for families who wonder how college tuition prices could ever pay off, said Emilia Mattucci, a high school counselor at East Allegheny schools near Pittsburgh. More than two-thirds of her school’s students come from low-income families, and many aren’t willing to take on the level of debt that past generations accepted.

Instead, more are heading to technical schools or the trades and passing on four-year universities, she said. “A lot of families are just saying they can’t afford it, or they don’t want to go into debt for years and years and years,” she explained.

### Questions About the Need for a Four-Year Degree

Education Secretary Linda McMahon has been among those questioning the necessity of a four-year degree. Speaking at the Reagan Institute think tank in September, McMahon praised programs that prepare students for careers right out of high school.

“I’m not saying kids shouldn’t go to college,” she said. “I’m just saying all kids don’t have to go in order to be successful.”

### Lowering College Tuition and Improving Graduate Earnings

American higher education has been grappling with both sides of the ROI equation: tuition costs and graduate earnings. This issue is becoming even more important as colleges compete for decreasing numbers of college-age students, due to falling birth rates.

Tuition rates have stayed flat on many campuses in recent years to address affordability concerns. Many private colleges have lowered their sticker prices to better reflect the costs most students actually pay after factoring in financial aid.

The other part of the equation—making sure graduates land good jobs—is more complicated. A group of college presidents recently met at Gallup’s Washington headquarters to study public polling on higher education.

One of the chief reasons for flagging confidence is the perception that colleges aren’t giving graduates the skills employers need, said Kevin Guskiewicz, president of Michigan State University, one of the leaders at the meeting.

“We’re trying to get out in front of that,” he said.

The issue has been a priority for Guskiewicz since he arrived on campus last year. He gathered a council of Michigan business leaders to identify skills that graduates will need for jobs, from agriculture to banking. The goal is to mold degree programs to the job market’s needs and to get students internships and work experience that can lead to a job.

### A Disconnect With the Job Market

Bridging the gap to the job market has been a persistent struggle for U.S. colleges, said Matt Sigelman, president of the Burning Glass Institute, a think tank that studies the workforce.

Last year, the institute, partnering with Strada researchers, found 52% of recent college graduates were in jobs that didn’t require a degree. Even higher-demand fields, such as education and nursing, had large numbers of graduates in that situation.

“No programs are immune, and no schools are immune,” Sigelman said.

The federal government has been trying to fix the problem for decades, going back to President Barack Obama’s administration. A federal rule first established in 2011 aimed to cut federal money to college programs that leave graduates with low earnings, though it primarily targeted for-profit colleges.

A Republican reconciliation bill passed this year takes a wider view, requiring most colleges to hit earnings standards to be eligible for federal funding. The goal is to make sure college graduates end up earning more than those without a degree.

### Transparency as a Key Solution

Others see transparency as a key solution. For decades, students had little way to know whether graduates of specific degree programs were landing good jobs after college. That started to change with the College Scorecard in 2015, a federal website that shares broad earnings outcomes for college programs.

More recently, bipartisan legislation in Congress has sought to give the public even more detailed data.

Lawmakers in North Carolina ordered a 2023 study on the financial return for degrees across the state’s public universities. It found that 93% produced a positive return, meaning graduates were expected to earn more over their lives than someone without a similar degree.

The data is available to the public, showing, for example, that undergraduate degrees in applied math and business tend to have high returns at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, while graduate degrees in psychology and foreign languages often don’t.

Colleges are belatedly realizing how important that kind of data is to students and their families, said Lee Roberts, chancellor of UNC-Chapel Hill, in an interview.

“In uncertain times, students are even more focused—I would say rightly so—on what their job prospects are going to be,” he added. “So I think colleges and universities really owe students and their families this data.”

___

The Associated Press’ education coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.
https://ktar.com/national-news/is-college-worth-the-cost-universities-work-to-show-the-return-on-investment-of-a-degree/5762127/

IRS Announces Income Brackets and Tax Rates for 2026

Another year brings another inflation adjustment for the thresholds that determine how much you owe Uncle Sam.

As inflation impacts the economy, these thresholds are updated to reflect changes in the cost of living. This means that the amount you are required to pay in taxes may change accordingly.

Understanding these adjustments can help you better plan your finances and tax obligations for the year ahead. Stay informed to ensure you’re not caught off guard by any changes in your tax responsibilities.
https://www.moneytalksnews.com/irs-announces-income-brackets-and-tax-rates-for/

米連邦政府、一部閉鎖が3週目に 長期化様相、解雇差し止め命令も

2025/10/16 8:26 (2025/10/16 8:28 更新)

[有料会員限定記事]

クリップ機能は有料会員の方のみお使いいただけます。

西日本新聞meとは?

【ワシントン共同】米連邦政府の一部閉鎖が始まり、15日で3週目に入りました。議会上院は、与党共和党のつなぎ予算案の採決に進むための動議を再び否決しました。否決は9回目となります。

再開に向けて与野党が折り合わず、長期化の様相を呈しています。

この記事は有料会員限定です。残り 457 文字

7日間無料トライアル、1日37円で読み放題。年払いならもっとお得です。

https://www.nishinippon.co.jp/item/1411864/

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